@RockDokRockwhat math is that?
If your math was applied to a coinflip, than getting heads 4 times means you have 200% chance for tails?
I never knew % chances were stacking each unsuccesful roll.
@damsonwhufndthis Basic high school probability.
Taking the claim at face value. Each pack has an independent probability of 0.5% or 0.005 of having an heirloom (worst case in the claim of 0.5% to 1%.
The chance of *NOT* getting an heirloom in an individual pack therefore must be 99.5% (.995).
If I have 250 apex packs the probability of not getting an heirloom in any of them is .995^{250}. This is approx 28.5%
Therefore you have a probability of 71.5% of getting at least 1 heriloom in 250 packs if the individual probability weights for an heirloom (per pack) are 0.5%.
In practice these weights may vary, I get that, but for the sake of example the values suggested clearly aren't right. They will be *far far* lower.
Yes?
% chances don't "stack". I have no idea what you are on about.
- DR
Community Manager
